It would seem that the closer a trader is to 100% winning trades, the better trader they are. On the flip side it would seem that the closer they are to 0%, the worse they are. While it is certainly true that you would like to win the most trades possible, there is more to it than that. I would argue that a 95% win rate is infinitely worse than a 65% win rate. Hopefully this article will help to tell you why.

First we’ll take a look at traders with a low win rate. We will classify 0% to ~40% as low. If a trader fits into this range, then the closer they are to zero probably means the worse they are. Most traders in this lower range are losing traders. You will occasionally find a trader who attempts to catch very large moves with very tight stops. This type of trader may have an extremely low win % and still be a very successful trader.

The next range is from ~40% to ~70%. This is the range most winning traders will be in. The reason these traders win is not because they pick a ton of winning trades and rarely have a loser. They may in fact have more losing trades than winning trades. The reason they are able to win is that they properly manage their trades once they are open. They use reasonable stops that will often be executed. This obviously results in a losing trade, but a small loser. These small losers are only a fraction of the size of their winning trades. These are most often the traders that have the ability to cut their losses but let their winners run. This seems like a simple concept, but very few traders have the discipline to actually do it.

The last group are those with a very high win % (above 70%). It seems the closer to 100% these traders get, the more people want to trade their signals. Unfortunately the opposite is probably the correct play. These traders win an incredibly high amount of the time because they often take profit off of the table as soon as it appears. This strategy is fine if you also plan to cut losses in that manner. But traders with 95% win rates and above do not have this strategy in mind. Rather than accepting a small loss and moving on with their day, they will let a loser run indefinitely and even add to that position in many cases. This eventually wipes out months or more of winning trades all at once and in the end has no chance of success. One 500 pip loser wipes out 500 one pip winners. Keep in mind that this trader would have well over 99% winning trades and still be an over all loser.

The point of this article is not to say that no one outside of the predetermined range can possibly be a winning trader. Surely many people can and do win with a win % outside of my range. I just want to warn you that if someone has a 95% win rate you should stand aside and hope not to get hit by any debris when they eventually implode.

To learn more about Automated Forex Trading visit Automated Forex Trading Systems.

[tags]forex, win rate, foreign exchange, currency, trading, money[/tags]

We’re focusing on technical analysis in this article with a description of some of the important indicators.

We could say, all wealthy traders use technical analysis but not all technical analysis traders are wealthy although T.A. is the most precise way of trading the Forex market. Its also useful note that fundamentals play their part in indicating whether a price will move up or down. It gives you the edge over other traders.

Technical Analysis is so powerful because of a few reasons

1) it represents numbers. All information and its impact on the market and traders is represented in a currencys price.
2) It helps to predict trends and the foreign exchange market is very trendy.
3) Certain chart patterns are consistent, reliable and repeat themselves. T.A. helps us to see them.

Heres one way of putting technical analsysis into perspective (wish I had a dollar each time I said technical analysis). We all know that prices move in trends. Research has shown that those that trade with the trend greatly improve their chances of making a profitable trade.

Trends help you become aware of the overall market direction and often rescue us from less then profitable entry points. I attended a 2 day course costing me over $2500 AUD and the biggest thing I learned from it was the need for discipline and emotional control. The content was so basic that within the next 3 or 4 articles, I would have covered all of it. So learning the tools of the trade the technical indicators and their applications will help you to diagnose what the market is doing but even then you need to expect ups and down and trade with emotional control.

Stay with the trend, follow the price.

Find the price of the currency pair. If EUR/USD is 1.4224 and moves to 1.4180 then 1.4090 then the market is in a down trend. Concern yourself only with what the market IS doing not what it might do. Listen to the markets and the indicators will backup what they are telling you.

Moving Averages.
Tell you the price at a given point of time over a defined period of intervals. They are called moving because they give you the latest price while calculating the average based on the selected time measure.

They lag the market so to give you an indication of a change in trend, use a shorter average such as a 5 or 10 day moving average. By combining a shorter term and longer term M.A. you can detect a buy signal when the shorter term crosses the longer term moving average in the upward direction. Or a sell signal if it crosses in a downward direction. For example, you could use a 5 day versus a 20 day moving average or a 40 day versus a 200 day moving average.
There are simple moving averages, linearly weighted which gives more importance to the recent prices or exponentially weighted. The latter is a favourite because it considers all prices in a time period but emphasizes the importance of the most recent price changes.

MACD
Based on moving averages, a MACD plots the difference between a 26 exponential moving average and a 12 day exponential moving average, with a 9 day used as a trigger line. If a MACD turns positive when the market is still plummeting it could be a strong buy signal. The converse also works.

Bollinger Bands (sounds like an elastic band)
Prices tend to stay between the upper and lower bands. They widen and become more narrow depending on the volatility of the market at the time. A sell signal would be when the moving average is above the Bollinger bands and vice versa for a buy signal. Some traders use it in conjunction with RSI, MACD, CCI and Rate of Change.

Fibonacci Retracement
Describe cycles found throughout nature and when applied to technical analysis can find shifts in the market trends. After a climb prices often retrace a large portion sometimes all of the original move. Support and resitance levels often occur near the Fibonacci retracement levels.

RSI
Relative Strength Index measures the market activity to see whether its overbought or oversold. This is a leading indicator so helps to indicate what the market is going to do (awesome!). Ahigher RSI number indicates overbought (so expect a bearish shift) and a lower number indicates oversold.

Successful traders will generally use 3 or 4 signals to provide a more conculsive signal before entering a trade.

Always remember, If in doubt, stay out! Technical analysis doesn’t factor in political news, a countrys economic profile or fundamental supply and demand.

Technical Analysis helps us figure out how much money to risk on a trade. How and when to enter the market and how to exit the trade for profit or to minimize loss.

I sincerely hope you found this article useful.

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[tags]forex currency trading system, forex day trading system, forex simulator[/tags]

Forex Trading, meaning Currency Trading, is a world wide little known market which will become the most popular source of income for investors in the very near future. It is open for banks, rich investors and small ones alike and, depending on the sum of money they are willing to risk, the earnings demonstrate this is the best way to start getting rich.

Why choose currency trading over stock, real estate or futures trading? The currency trading advantages are speed, liquidity, commission-free transactions, increased safety, short-term trading and great earnings. Lets study each of these advantages in other trading systems:

-Speed: Currency trading is instant due to a large amount of transactions while future trading implies a longer time to trade certain commodities, agricultural products, financial instruments and goods (contracts need to be written and signed)

-Stock traders must pay brokers a certain fee for each transaction made. The brokerage fee is available for all futures transactions, but not in the case of currency trading. In currency trading brokers earn money by studying and profiting from the difference of price between sold and bought currencies.

-Liquidity: The currency market is opened non-stop, anywhere in the world giving currency traders the chance to trade whenever they find the opportune moment and prices. This is a characteristic attributed only to currency trading.

-Safety: while other trading systems are based on speculation, on the fluctuation of price, on slippage and market gaps, currency trading is controlled with the help of built in safeguards that limit slip-ups.

-Short term trading, like currency trading, is more efficient for profit making than long term trading. Day trading does not increase speculation, risk and does not imply that the brokers commission will reduce any profit made.

Anyone can start trading currencies. This means Currency Trading is easy therefore making money is easy! The potential profit that can be made by buying and selling currencies and with a minimum capital for investment is amazing. Currency trading techniques are available online for learning for those interested in doing so, but the best choice would be to let a broker do business for you.

Tricks and traps are everywhere for inexperienced and the best way to avoid loosing money and time is to hire a broker who knows how the currency market works and how to increase your venues. Let someone else do the trading for you!

The Currency market is very vast and it involves traders all over the world.
Therefore the market can not be monopolized, cornered in any way for a single beneficiary. There are many participants, many banks involved and currency trading is a global phenomenon. The amount of business done during a particular period of time by the Currency market is 30 times bigger than that done by the US Equity markets. The average sum of money exchanged during one day of transactions with many currencies goes over 1.6 trillion US$. The impressive numbers don’t stop here. The Currency market predictions of growth in the futures are over 2.0 trillion US$. These facts together with others (like the lack of physical location or centralization of any kind) offer the Currency trader safety.

Trading currencies allows investors to make money quick and efficient, with little risk and in a big way! So whats keeping you from becoming a Currency trader?

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[tags]forex currency trading system, forex day trading system, forex simulator[/tags]

Forex or FX, no matter how you may call it, it all refers to foreign exchange. Forex basically deals with buying and selling of currencies, or in other words currency trading that is made available at the ongoing price in market. It involves investing money in the foreign currencies and earning profit by selling them at the higher price. That is to say, that you are extending the one you are holding, only to buy the other one for a lower price.

Forex trading market can also be termed as the largest financial market of the world and thereby also makes available the most lucrative options as well. Also, with technological advancements, forex trading signals can be accessed online. It is the introduction of these forex signals that have increased its popularity considerably, as it is readily accessible at the comfort of the home of various investors. There are various companies that provide forex trading signals over the Internet. For this, a person first has to sign himself up with the website of that company and submit a yearly or monthly fee as these services are made available on paid basis only. Most websites that offer a trading platform makes available the forex signal trading system.

This involves sending of newsletters about the daily market trends by a professional broker, trader or a market analyst to its members. These are very helpful as the basic purpose of every trader is to provide profitable deals in forex by utilizing all the information that is made available to him. There are different prices that are charged for these forex signals services and the services are also made available accordingly. While some of them will send the email, others will keep you updated by its forex alerts via cell phones. Live charts are another feature that is made available in some higher subscription services. Generally the minimum amount of subscription is a minimum of $100.

Though forex is a highly lucrative market, still it has equal risk involved, so it is important to have forex strategy system to ensure that you are not losing more than earning. Optimization of risk in accordance to your reward is important to make sure that you into successful trading. Every forex trading strategy must follow a disciplined approach along with taking risks. That is to say, limiting the risk, while making the best and the most constructive market moves possible is essential to become a successful trader.

Another technical analysis or forex trading strategy is the one that involves deriving resistance and a support levels. The base for this is that forex market will generally trade below its level of resistance and also above its levels of support. In case the resistance or support level is wrecked, the market is also anticipated to follow the same direction at that time. These levels can be decided by assessing the resistance in previous years, unbroken support in the market and by analyzing its chart. Hence, to become a successful trader it is better to follow forex strategy system.

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[tags]currency trading tutorial, forex forecasts, forex trade signal[/tags]

It should be noted that millionaire traders, Elder, Williams and some others are in fact professional psychiatrists. And it is not accidental that not the economists are the leaders and most successful traders, but professional psychiatrists and psychotherapists. Think about it. You will become a successful trader when you understand why it happens with Forex. You will understand what your Forex mistakes are, and why you are making them.

And when you correct these mistakes you will become a trader who has no psychological barriers and obstacles on his way to better earnings in the Forex market.

So, why do the psychiatrists make better traders than economists who, as one would think, have the Forex market at their finger tips?

The economists are confused by:

- the fact that exchange rates are not always related directly to the economic circumstances in the countries. Well, do you know any economist who would be bidding for low fx rates when the economic situation is getting better and better? Or the one who admits that technical analysis of currency pairs is more important for Forex trading than the fundamental one? Any economist is confident that this can never happen because he knows all the economic dogmas. But it happens in the Forex. After all, how can a trader lose with the currencies moving up and down by the economic rules? The currency will surely react to the economic changes in the country, but who knows when and how? Here is a tip: there is the Elliott fifth way to teach a lesson to the ones who believe that fundamental knowledge is enough (before the trend turns, the currency spurts absurdly by the old trend), to confuse and draw the newbies into the game, while the experts wait for the trend to turn back.

- the lack of psychological knowledge that helps to understand the behavior of the crowd. And that is self-evident.

Are there any methods to overcome this fear?

It seems that every Forex book, every article offers efficient solutions for psychological difficulties experienced by the traders.

IN FACT NEITHER OF THESE BOOKS CONTAINS METHODS TO OVERCOME THE FEAR EXPERIENCED BY A FOREX TRADER!

But what do these books offer instead?

Almost every book of this kind consists of two unequal parts:

- the bigger part of the book narrates about traders problem that interfere with their Forex work and make it unsuccessful (nervousness, doubts, worries, fear, sleep deprivation, etc.). As if the traders do not know their own problems.

- the considerably lesser part contains conclusions and recommendations to the traders who are to solve their problems and overcome their fears to become successful.

The conclusions are disappointing:

Many psychiatrists realize that the new field opens before their eyes now they may treat traders whose number amounts to millions all over the world and is growing with every day. And since most traders have a dream to become as successful as George Soros and other famous traders, this new field promises to be rather lucrative.

One thing is bad though: the overwhelming majority of these new-sprung trader brain specialists do not even know what the Forex is all about.

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[tags]currency trading tutorial, forex forecasts, forex trade signal[/tags]

Being successful! Does that have anything to do with choosing a market to trade? I would maintain that it does. One of the Secrets To Success is to choose something that fits you. After all, if one of your goals is to achieve a certain income level or net worth figure there are a multitude of ways that someone has been successful with, but probably only a few, that might be right for you. This applies just as much to the financial markets as it does elsewhere.

If you’re reading this article, probably one of your endeavors is or will be some type of activity in the financial markets. Now which of the markets are right for you, meaning the best fit for your circumstances and your goals? Addressing this question will be far more profitable then trading the first market you happen to come into contact with. I’ll help in this process by discussing some of the relevant features of the Forex or cash Foreign Exchange market.

One of the first Forex concepts to note is that the currency you are trading is a representation of a nations economy. Why is this important? Because it’s notable that national economies don’t perceptibly change in a day or even a month. Contrast this with individual stocks, commodities or futures that are easily affected by daily news or even weather events. Thus the price moves of the major currencies take place against a broader backdrop than the before mentioned markets. This is expressed in the tendency of currencies to show strongly trending behavior in contrast to staying in tight trading ranges. Many will realize that tight trading ranges are some of the most difficult trading conditions while the trend is your friend because it is easier to profitably trade by hitching a ride. Trending markets also lend themselves to rules based technical trading systems. Do you prefer to have your trading choices laid out in advance, or do you shoot from the hip?

Are you planning to trade as a business or significant avocation? Do you plan to be active on a full or part time basis? If part time, are you otherwise occupied during regular business or market hours? Did you know that Forex trades 24 hours a day, six days a week? This makes sense if you realize that the Forex markets are serving the needs of nations and traders in every time zone. To facilitate this, most trading is done with online trading platforms that are considered to make an Over The Counter (OTC) market. Do your plans call for flexible or outside of regular hours scheduling?

How much capital would you like to allocate to your chosen trading activity? Someone whose trading is part time and viewed as a hobby may have a different amount of trading capital available than someone whose plan is to structure their trading as a business activity. Regarding capital requirements, the Forex market can accommodate almost any trading plan. This is possible because there are two trading unit sizes available. The full size lot is 100,000 currency units and may be controlled by a 1% or 1,000 unit margin. There is also a mini size lot of 10,000 currency units that may be controlled by a .5% or 50 unit margin. Dollar based traders can put the dollar sign ahead of the above figures for illustration. To translate this to trading account requirements; a mini account can be started for as little as $300.00 US.

The above discussion of just a few facets of the Forex market is hoped to stimulate thoughtful consideration of the best trading situation for you, and will continue as a series of articles to consider relevant features of the Forex markets.

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[tags]currency trading tutorial, forex forecasts, forex trade signal[/tags]

Back when I first started learning about investing, I decided to start from the beginning and read basic books on personal finance as well as guides for understanding all of the investment world in a nut shell. Most of these authors were very knowledgeable and informative, but their investment advice was far too conservative for my taste. They would literally write chapter after chapter talking about the differences between conservative investing, which according to them generally yields somewhere around 5% PA, as opposed to risky investing which usually meant a diversified stock/mutual fund portfolio yielding (in my mind) only slightly higher averages. What kind of returns can you expect in the stock market? Well they say the market has gone up an average of 10% a year since Adam and Eve. Popular indexes like the DOW and the now more popular S&P500 have always, like real estate, gone up over time.

Now, these market averages are almost worshiped like golden calves. Repeatedly drilled into my brain was the concept that there were hundreds (if not thousands) of fund managers and other professionals out there with Harvard degrees, decades of experience, millions of dollars under management, and they were all spending 15 hours a day consuming every single bit of market information in the hopes of beating these golden calves by a few points.

What chance did I have? If Dr. Fund Guru Jr. who eats, sleeps, breathes the markets and has more credentials than I have individual hairs on my body can’t consistently make 20% a year…well…forget it kid…your chances are slim to none. I guess I’ll buy some shares of XYZ fund and accept the scraps off the table from the stock gurus.

NOT!

The foreign exchange market offers many benefits that the stock market does not have. Most of these have been beaten to death on various forums, blogs, articles, e-books, etc. However, its always good to reiterate the positive (my own personal reason is last):
- Forex offers unprecedented liquidity. With over two trillion dollars transacted per day on the market, it makes filling any buy/sell order virtually instant. That equates to less slippage and more profitability. Paper trading stocks vs actually trading stocks is very different, because orders may not be filled in a timely manner. The difference between trading a forex demo accout and an actual account is virtually nill.
- Forex is available 24 hours a day 5.5 days a week, as opposed to the daylight trading hours of the stock exchanges.
- Forex is uncontrollable by large entities. Large net worth individuals, banks and fund managers who throw their weight around in the stock market can often have huge effects on price action. Because of the immense volume of foreign currency traded per day, the market is unmoved by heavy hitters. Not even central banks can control the Forex market.
- Forex offers up to 200:1 leverage as opposed to 2:1 stock leverage.
- Forex has no restrictions for selling short, as opposed to the stock markets uptick rule
- Forex can actually be traded INSIDE of an IRA or Roth IRA account.
- Forex gains are taxed at the preferred 60/40 rate, no matter what trading style you use (intra-day, swing, position) as opposed to the tax penalties for holding stocks for short periods of time.

The list does go on, but for me the biggest advantage is a psychological one. I know it probably sounds silly, but fear and intimidation can sometimes subconsciously defeat us before we even begin. I don’t like the idea of having to live up to, and in a way, compete with professional managers who have more knowledge of the fundamentals of the markets than I ever will. It’s almost as if Forex, in some way, levels the playing field. I don’t have to psychologically compete against anyones idea of what kind of returns are acceptable and realistic and what kind of returns are pure fantasy. I only have to trade until I can find an acceptable reward to risk ratio, and consistent profitability thereof. The only one I compete against is myself.

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[tags]currency trading tutorial, forex forecasts, forex trade signal[/tags]

Yea, I know that title sound far fetched. But guess what, there are plenty of people that will happily attest to not only how true it is, but also that with the right frame of mind and proper long term view, you can learn to consistently take money from the forex markets just as easily as you can improve your short game in golf.

What’s that you say? Your short game in golf is less that spectacular? I’m sure you realize that if you made it a priority and practiced religiously, you would see an automatic improvement in your short game.

The same with any skill, as I’m sure you know, based on your own experience. There are things that you are good at. And at some point in time, you weren’t good at them. Then you decided, for whatever reason, that you wanted to increase your skills. And you naturally improved. And today, when you compare your skills to what they were like when you first started out, you can naturally agree that they have improved.

The forex markets are no different. The more you practice, the better you get. One of the biggest stumbling blocks people have is greed. Yes, I completely agree with Gordon Gecko that “Greed is Good,” as he proudly proclaimed in the movie “Wall Street,” but it pays to realize the difference between short term greed, and long term greed.

Short-term greed is when you go after a big killing, not unlike playing slot machines in Las Vegas. You put your money in, pull the handle and pray to the gods of luck. Usually the only luck you get is when the cute waitress that brings you your free drink will hang around long enough for you to flirt with her.

That is foolish, yet that is the reason so many get washed out in the markets. They go in too quick, without understanding the true risks enough to develop a solid strategy that will virtually guarantee consistent profits.

A better strategy is to develop serious, powerful, inspiring long-term greed. Instead of swinging for the fence for the first couple of months, play with as little money as possible, and develop a solid strategy. You will inevitably make some gains, but don’t let them convince you to invest more than you are ready to.

Get used to setting small stop losses, and sticking to them. Choose an appropriate profit taking point, say ten or twenty percent, and practice sticking to it despite how desperately you want to hang on for more money.

When you develop a structured discipline that will support a long term investing strategy, it will be virtually impossible to fail.

Taking the first step is sometimes the hardest for some. Because you can
imagine what it will be like when you become successful, you can take advantage
of this opportunity. You’ll find out just how easy that is when you visit
George Hutton’s Forex

[tags]mini forex, forex signal trading, learn forex trading, forex mini, managed forex, George Hutton[/tags]

The forex markets can be a powerful and successful way to earn enough money to do whatever you want in life. There are people that have been able to retire from their jobs within a few months of even learning that these markets exist.

Of course, with anything that offers this potential for massive and immediate wealth, there is a correspondingly large risk of loss. For everyone that has hit a few out of the park right off the bat, there are many more who watched their nest egg vanish into thin air, without really understanding what happened.

So what’s the difference?

What’s the difference between those that have realized the wealth of their dreams and those only gained experience, and nothing else.

Unfortunately, the biggest factor is luck. But the good news is, you don’t have to depend on luck. You do have to realize that success in the forex markets is a long-term goal, not a lucky, Las Vegas style overnight success story.

Just like any other skill, if you start slow, take small risks, and learn from your mistakes, you will consistently get better. Just like learning to walk, or ride a bike, you are going to fall down a bunch of times before you get it right. The key is to make sure when you fall down in the forex markets, you do it with little or no money, so you can maximize your experience at a minimum cost.

Many places offer a “pretend” account, where you only trade with “pretend” money, to get your feet wet, so to speak. Once you are familiar with the mechanics of trading, you can invest a small amount. It is imperative that you fully expect to lose all you invest the first few times out. If you budget a few hundred dollars over the next six months to really learn a solid strategy that will gain consistent profits over the long run, it is hard not to succeed.

And just like any other skill you will get better as time goes by. As your skills increase, you will naturally start to see more and more of your trades being profitable. And this will naturally lead you to slowly take bigger and bigger positions, as your confidence will easily increase.

If you jump in with both feet, swinging for the fence, you are likely to strike out. But if you go in with a learning attitude, slowly build up your skill level and confidence, in a few months you will start to see profits on a consistent basis. And when you imagine your life in a year or so, after you’ve mastered the ins and outs, and have found a way to consistently make considerable profits, you’ll likely be one of the successful few that has enough patience and determination to trade for a living, and spend the rest of your time enjoying life.

Taking the first step is sometimes the hardest for some. Because you can
imagine what it will be like when you become successful, you can take advantage
of this opportunity. You’ll find out just how easy that is when you visit
George Hutton’s Forex

[tags]mini forex, forex signal trading, learn forex trading, forex mini, managed forex, George Hutton[/tags]

If you’ve ever done any searching or reading one the internet regarding the forex, or foreign exchange markets, you’ve undoubtedly come across sites that claim for only a couple hundred dollars, you can guy a trading robot that will make you rich overnight.

Of course, anything that sounds too good to be true usually is. Sometimes, it doesn’t pay to reinvent the wheel as often as Microsoft upgrades Windows system. Sometimes old school techniques are the best techniques.

So what are these tried and true techniques that will help you to realize consistent profits in the forex markets? Know the markets, and know yourself. Many of these trading programs that promise instant riches claim that you just click a button and let the software do all the work. What that does is take out your intuition and your own personal trading style, which may change based on the market. These are essential to achieve lasting success.

The two personal elements you must master before you can ever hope to master the markets are greed and fear. Greed in the form of hanging onto a position longer than you should, because you want to make just a few more pips. Trust me, I’ve lost plenty of money waiting for just one more up tick.

The other one, fear, is a strange one. It comes out in many ways. One of the ways is when it makes getting out of a losing position difficult. When you set a solid stop loss and get out of a position regardless of your emotions, you will naturally notice this fear decrease over time, which will effectively increase your profits.

There are two underlying fears that make this hard. One is that you fear as soon as you get out, the market will shoot in the other direction, and some can feel foolish when this happens. Trust me, I’ve felt foolish for this exact reason many times.

The other one is a little bit more insidious. By getting out of a position and taking a loss, to some it’s as if you are admitting failure. It can almost feel like rejection sometimes. But when you realize that for every big win, there will inevitably few several small losses, these become par for the course. Instead of feeling rejected, you will feel you are one step closer to that big gain you are after.

When you combine these two, protecting your gains and minimizing your losses, you can’t help but to be successful. As you change your strategy to long term financial success, rather than short term get rich quick, the forex markets become easier than you’ve ever imagined.

Taking the first step is sometimes the hardest for some. Because you can
imagine what it will be like when you become successful, you can take advantage
of this opportunity. You’ll find out just how easy that is when you visit
George Hutton’s Forex

[tags]mini forex, forex signal trading, learn forex trading, forex mini, managed forex, George Hutton[/tags]